Nicholas Polson has authored 258 academic papers in 2026 (so far)

(stat.columbia.edu)

93 points | by zaik 1 hour ago

18 comments

  • buran77 1 hour ago
    > “An Interdisciplinary Synthesis Across Economics, Psychology, Biology, Philosophy, Game Theory, and Spiritual Tradition.”

    If one were inclined, they could shorten the title to "AI Synthesis Across Economics, Psychology, Biology, Philosophy, Game Theory, and Spiritual Tradition." Maybe that's an Easter egg.

    AI submissions, soon AI reviewers, and shortly after only AI readers.

    The guy's name is "nosloP" spelled backwards. Maybe spelled normally it's supposed to signify the opposite.

    • jagged-chisel 56 minutes ago
      > The guy's name is "nosloP" spelled backwards. Maybe spelled normally it's supposed to signify the opposite.

      Most insightful comment

      • mag7269 51 minutes ago
        Yeah, he should publish this exquisite finding in the Journal of Human Shit That AI Would Not Produce
    • EA-3167 47 minutes ago
      https://www.pangram.com/history/51744f24-1896-4d5c-8bfc-786c...

      It isn't even partially human written, it's just an LLM's output.

    • locallost 56 minutes ago
      That the name in no slop backwards is too wild to be real, but it's a real person.

      I mean it's everywhere now. I complained already at my workplace multiple times, we get huge Claude generated documents, which people then ask Claude to summarize. I don't mind some of it in principle but people are too lazy now to input all the details so you get a bunch of fantasies that were explicitly ruled out already. It's tiring.

      • orwin 27 minutes ago
        I went to a "town hall" at my company last friday, the slides were all obviously AI-generated, the text was too, without anybody proofreading it.

        How do i know? Because i doubt "Access&Identity will help us push forward the productivity of all collaborators" was what the team responsible for the prompt wanted to say.

  • gus_massa 52 minutes ago
    IIUC there are not 258 academic papers published in serious peer review journals [1], only 258 "preprints" in a free preprint server. It's like posting in WordPress but using a PDF instead of html [2]. I guess they start with "abstract" and end with "References" so they looks like papers.

    For some weird reason in the last few years people forgot the differences and now any PDF is an "academic paper" [3]. (I'd be more annoyed, if the internal system of the university also forgot the difference. I'm afraid to ask.)

    [1] Whatever "serious" means, that's a huge can of worms.

    [2] They get an doi and a version number in case of a change.

    [3] A few years ago they were call "whitepapers".

  • hangrybear666 36 minutes ago
    Vadim Sokolov, the co-author of the paper mentioned in the post defends this insane practice and says they reviewed at least one of the 258 generated papers with their own eyes, they are thus not fake papers.

    Source: https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/08/27/258/#comme...

    • lovich 14 minutes ago
      This is similar to when Elon claims to be running what, 4-5 different companies as a ceo, and taking care of his children, and sleeping 6 hours a day, and then we observe him shitposting on Twitter constantly or showing off his gaming skills in a game that is literally a time gated grindfest.

      You add up all the claimed activities and then realize it’s more hours than are in a day so someone’s lying.

      I don’t see how this author can claim that these papers didn’t “…suddenly materialize from a magical “chatbot” in 2026” when it’s obvious that 1-2 people are not producing 258 papers that are tens of pages each in 9 months with any sort of academic rigor.

  • tobias2014 1 hour ago
    Why would someone ruin their academic credentials and reputation (at a reputable university) like this? Maybe there was nothing to begin with? Otherwise I can't understand this.
    • hunterpayne 2 minutes ago
      Because they won't. The various algorithms that create the "publish or perish" incentives actually reward this. Academic reputation isn't a term in those algorithms, so it isn't rewarded. Same for verifying other's papers and other parts of science and research that aren't actually publishing papers. This is the cause of the reproducibility crisis in academic.

      "Show me the incentives and I will show you the outcome"

    • Lerc 51 minutes ago
      I think it might be taking a position in the use of AI, They don't appear to be concealing their use.

      If the papers were of a uniformly high standard then I might not have a problem with it.

      If they are hoping some of them are good and the review process will filter out the bad then it seems like they are not doing research, they are writing hypotheses and at pushing the work of testing them onto the reviewers.

      I could also see that being done to make some sort of statement about the review process, but it's not clear if that is their goal.

      He's wasting people's time, which is already the resource that many people lack any to spare. I'm not sure if he realises this part.

      • SecretDreams 32 minutes ago
        Could probably write a real research paper based on the acceptance outcomes of all of these LLM written papers.
    • augment_me 45 minutes ago
      It's incentivized by the system. You get grants, clout, importance, job opportunities based on your publishing in major conferences. As of last year, the variance of review scores have been higher between reviewers on the same paper than between the same reviewer on different paper. So it's effectively become a coinflip. The best strategy when it's random is just to spam stuff.

      Oh also at least 40% generated peer-reviews are contributing to this statistic.

    • jazzpush2 1 hour ago
      Not surprising. Many academics held in high-esteem in these behavioral offshoots are nothing more than frauds to begin with. Almost every X-studies paper is equally fluff these days (see the recent frontpage CHI post) - at least these have some semblance of theory given their equations, though are still largely garbage.
    • kristjank 13 minutes ago
      A ton of academia is based on putting out slop into not so well-read journals and crossing fingers it passes some dead-exhausted postdoc TA's peer review.
    • runarberg 1 hour ago
      More and more evidence is surfacing that suggests AI addiction is real. It may be as simple as that Nicholas Polson has developed a severe case of AI addiction.
      • SlightlyLeftPad 56 minutes ago
        Maybe his university is mandating or threatening to fire him like half of America’s corporate tech companies are.
    • lstodd 1 hour ago
      Maybe to expose the utter uselessness of "papers".
      • sho_hn 1 hour ago
        I'm not an academic, and I understand by osmosis that organized science has many problems related to publishing and connected mechanisms, but I have to say there's been quite a few moments in my life and career when I found the inspiration or solution I needed in a good paper.

        For condensed knowledge on highly specific topics (i.e. more specific than is economical in book form) I often know nothing better.

        Most recently I did sort of a self-taught crash course in ground-penetrating radar and applications for an archeological endeavour I write software for, and a number of papers have been really invaluable.

        • dekhn 1 hour ago
          I think one of the end-game components for AI is to be able to read all the literature and generate a reliable list of which ones are not correct and a convincing reason why.
          • jruohonen 54 minutes ago
            > generate a reliable list of which ones are not correct and a convincing reason why

            That is not realistic, but I suppose where things are heading is that you have some indicator of the strength of evidence -- see Fig. 13 in the following insightful take:

            https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49407226

            Though, "strength" should probably be "reliability" and "validity", and I suppose those indicators are more for picking signals from the noise; i.e., what is even worth clicking and reading. That would be increasingly valuable already today due to the volume (and, yes, slop and other related stuff).

            • raddan 23 minutes ago
              > That is not realistic, but I suppose where things are heading ...

              And to expand on this, it's not realistic because science is not armchair philosophy. You have to go out and measure the world.

              Sometimes, through force of will, a person can think deeply about a problem and come up with beautiful theories that explain our measurements. Many scientists had careers like this, probably most famously, Einstein. But it's worth noting that Einstein also got a lot wrong! [1]

              Even if we somehow give an LLM the ability to go out and measure things, I seriously doubt that the role of humans in science is done. There's a big difference between "an explanation" and "a good explanation." Ask any physicist. There's a surprising amount of aesthetics involved. Good theories are consistent with the evidence, but it's more than that-- there's a great deal of "taste" involved. And there's a good reason for that. For any real problem, there are effectively an infinite number of alternative hypotheses. From a "theory of science" standpoint, this should cause scientists nightmares, but it doesn't. Because by the time you are a practicing scientist, you've developed a feel for what constitutes a satisfying explanation. If you spend time with scientists, especially in the "hallway track" at a conference, "taste" is a frequent topic of conversation!

              [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Einstein%27s_unsuccessful_inve...

              • dekhn 14 minutes ago
                I think you misunderstood. I'm not asking for an oracle that can determine whether a paper is correct, I want an oracle that can find real mistakes in papers (thus invalidating them).

                I work full time on "lab in the loop" AI, so I'm pretty familiar with the need for real-world experiments. I am not proposing a fully autonomous scientist that could read an arbitrary paper and emit whether it's universally true without some verification method.

                Also, to your statement: " Because by the time you are a practicing scientist, you've developed a feel for what constitutes a satisfying explanation."

                I'm a practicing scientist (well, ex-scientist) and it seems like most "satisfying explanations" end up being wrong or incomplete simply because they seem so satisfying.

                • raddan 7 minutes ago
                  > I'm not asking for an oracle that can determine whether a paper is correct, I want an oracle that can find real mistakes in papers (thus invalidating them).

                  What's the difference? How do you find real mistakes without a model? Either you have a trusted mathematical model (in which case you already have a complete explanation) or you have to compare it against the ultimate oracle: the world. Or are you proposing something like "let's use an LLM to convert this hand-wavy English paper into a formal proof and then check it for logical fallacies?" In which case, fine, that would be useful, but that's not exactly the same thing (and also not as important) as saying that a paper advances a bad explanation. Just that the explanation is flawed in some way.

            • dekhn 16 minutes ago
              This is realistic. We already do this today: it's called "journal club". A bunch of grad students read the same paper and then criticize it. I've read papers that I thought were amazing only to. have somebody else notice a key issue in a method, or a conclusion that didn't follow, or outright omission of an important detail, in a way that could be verified by both the students and the authors of the paper.
        • augment_me 49 minutes ago
          You can be served this inspiration from LLMs
          • sho_hn 29 minutes ago
            I've tried here and there, but even the top-end models always tend toward shallow generalist takes. I've not been able to get more than basic primers out of LLMs, and nothing close to the ability of a professional author to stay on course with an idea, detail level, specificity etc. of a good human-authored paper.

            People in the early days used to often whine that LLMs just regurgitate text snippets (unfounded of course), but I think the way we currently train and RLHF them actually seems to largely make them unable to reproduce the knowledge they have been trained on, since they seem to just always want to please the mean with their output. I'm oversimplifying the mechanisms, but you get my drift.

      • orbital-decay 59 minutes ago
        Alan Sokal style hoax is what comes to mind first, of course. Wouldn't be the first computer-generated hoax either (see SCIgen). However see also the P.P.P.P.S. in the article, his co-author denies that in the comments.
    • readthenotes1 1 hour ago
      If the past 30 years have shown us anything, it's that academic credentials and reputation are very difficult to blemish.

      Polson is just pushing the knob to 11 because it's louder.

      We've been in the dark ages of science for so many decades...

  • prometheus1992 1 hour ago
    Writing is a technology that served us well for over 5000 years, but now times are a changing. Written media will cease to provide any value in the next decade i think. In person chats/Public speaking will be revered again.
    • tomjakubowski 1 hour ago
      One of the most memorable tech talks I ever attended was by a junior engineer who had just come back to the office from a major conference. Our workplace had an unusually oral culture -- decisions were made in meetings, and not always written down; there wasn't much in the way of bug tracking or work planning at the time; people generally preferred to talk through problems instead of working them out in email, chat, or forum posting.

      He was supposed to present a topic he learned about at the conference. Instead, he gave a cheeky talk which introduced the very concept of written language to the audience, as if we had never heard of it. Starting from the history of writing on tablets and so on, and ending in practical advice like, "when words are written down, you don't have to remember what they were exactly; you can just read the words again." I loved the chutzpah and could barely hold myself from chortling out loudly at some of his slides.

      • raddan 16 minutes ago
        I know that your post is an amusing take on communication, but I find the post you responded to be kind of a horrifying idea. Until recently, writing was like a time machine: somebody, from almost at any time in human history, wanted to tell you something. By writing it down in a common language, you could read what they wanted to say. Writing is flipping amazing.

        There has always been bad writing, but historically it has been easy enough to filter the garbage out. Now we get garbage that looks so much like real thoughts that it's hard to tell. This is not a positive development. Separating the wheat from the chaff is extra work, and the overhead is a burden on humanity. I suspect that this is a burden that almost nobody actually wants, but we're getting it anyway.

    • grey-area 13 minutes ago
      Oh my god, Socrates was right all along!
    • devindotcom 50 minutes ago
      try speaking from your own perspective instead of assuming a universal one. your opinions, however unhinged, will come off as more genuine.
    • physicallyIllfr 44 minutes ago
      We will be worse off for it. People just are losing the ability to read well. We are regressing as a species because of billionaire's thinking machines. A few companies are evolving while the rest of us become dependent.

      Your intelligence and competencey are going to be 1:1 correlated to the quality and quantity of tokens a billionaire gives you access too (local, sure, they control the hardware markets as well).

      Keep excercising your writing and reading muscles because it will definatley set you apart from the captive masses in the future.

    • kzrdude 1 hour ago
      Speaking is a culture that has served us well for 300 000 years or so. To note, it has been used for both good and bad..
    • sho_hn 1 hour ago
      I honestly think it's more likely that younger generations grow up seeing the ill effects of being AI-pilled for communication/writing, deciding by way of AI literacy that they want none of that, and develop better ideas on responsible use.

      I really don't like AI for document writing as a whole, especially within organizations. Code can be a form of communication, but for the most part it's an engineered thing that can be re-run, tested, verified and so on. But documents drive decision-making, and decision making is often one-time. Decisions should be studied and understood, and depriving authors of much of both is not having any good effects.

    • rayiner 1 hour ago
      Chilling.
    • Der_Einzige 29 minutes ago
      As it always should have been. Even Plato/Socrates were intelligent enough to muse about the idea that writing has degraded our memory vs when we had to memorize entire epic poems. They had a lot of hostile stuff to say about writing in Timaeus and other works.

      The fact that most teachers refuse to do in-person oral exams has always been due to laziness, incompetence, and the reality of the economics of dealing with classroom sizes where 30 is considered small.

    • beloch 47 minutes ago
      AI voice synthesis and robots/projectors are a thing. Slop will arrive in the boardrooms and on podiums sooner than many suspect.
      • SJC_Hacker 37 minutes ago
        Yeah, the love doll companies already have voice synthesis and facial expressions. Full locomotion is the next obvious step
    • gedy 1 hour ago
      I’m only half joking that someone will come up with a LLM text to speech synthesizer that pauses and plays depending on if your mouth is closed/jaw is moving. Analysizes your voice to synthesize as well.
  • coderintherye 1 hour ago
    If AI submissions, then why not go a step further and have AI reviewers?

    Perhaps this will help bring more scrutiny to the metric of publishing quantity not being as valuable as it has been treated.

    • canjobear 1 hour ago
      In practice this already happens, unfortunately.
      • guywithahat 1 hour ago
        Why is it unfortunate? We should absolutely use AI reviewers to help catch errors and fact check papers
        • jruohonen 52 minutes ago
          > Why is it unfortunate?

          If you only knew.

  • throwaway63467 1 hour ago
    I tried writing a simple 20 page paper with the latest Claude model over several weeks and that thing got ripped apart by legal and data science (for good reason), not going to try that again. And there I had all the numbers and analyses down and verified, just the writing itself by Claude was subpar.

    Can’t imagine the utter garbage that Claude will produce when you give it a simple prompt and let it write thousand of pages.

    Kind of makes me wonder about all that AGI talk if these models can’t even the work of a good PhD or postdoctoral student.

  • danlitt 21 minutes ago
    > Jesus Christ. I’ve heard that Cambridge University has an open position in their school of education . . . this kind of thing would fit in very well there, no?

    What a disgusting, tasteless joke.

  • 1970-01-01 45 minutes ago
    What percent of these 258 papers was funded with taxpayer money?
  • tired_and_awake 49 minutes ago
    Years ago I was an academic peer reviewer and hated it, you've probably seen published work thats low in quality - you wouldn't believe how low quality the unpublished crap is. I cannot even imagine the absolute bundle of garbage that must be handled by these unpaid reviewers today. We need a better system.
  • jawns 1 hour ago
    Another possible answer to the "What's in it for him?" question:

    The Everest effect.

    George Mallory: "The first question you will ask, and the one I have to answer is, 'What's the point of climbing Mount Everest?' And my answer should be, 'It's no use.' There is not the slightest prospect of any gain. Oh, maybe we can learn a little about the behavior of the human body at height, and medicine can change our observations for aviation purposes. But nothing else could come of it. We will not bring back a little gold or silver or gemstones or coal or iron. We will not find soil or earth that we can grow crops that produce food. There is no point. So if you can't understand that there's something in humans that responds to the challenges of this mountain and goes to meet those challenges, then the struggle that ensues is a struggle from life itself upwards, and you won't see why we're leaving. What we get from this adventure is just joy. We don't live to eat and make money. We eat and make money to enjoy life. That is the meaning of life and the purpose of living."

    Why generate all of these papers? Because, for the first time, he can.

    Doesn't have to be for the money or fame or potential for speaking engagements. It could simply be that he wants to test the limits of what's possible.

  • mccoyb 50 minutes ago
    Call me crazy, but if you can't explain the idea in 10 pages or less, you don't understand the idea.

    (For instance, 58 pages, 80 pages ... I don't think of these as normal academic length if this is the main body content ...)

    • SJC_Hacker 35 minutes ago
      Wiles proof of Fermats last theorem was over 100 pages
  • mohamedkoubaa 58 minutes ago
    Squatting seems like the most plausible explanation. Explaining an idea to your friend at a bar doesn't make it "yours", but publishing a manuscript does.
  • adolph 59 minutes ago
    The SSRN ID of the page linked to by the article [0] is not the same as the SSRN ID [1] linked from a chicagobooth.edu scholar by that name [2]

    0. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=170...

    1. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=228...

    2. https://www.chicagobooth.edu/faculty/directory/p/nicholas-po...

  • MattCruikshank 1 hour ago
    Nicholas Polson is an anagram for Nonsocial Slop.
    • clipsy 54 minutes ago
      You lost the ‘h’.
      • tomjakubowski 51 minutes ago
        I'll settle for NO SLOP, NICK! as an anagram of NICK POLSON.
  • 12948717 1 hour ago
    "Pols" backwards is "Slop".
    • _joel 1 hour ago
      Polson - NoSlop

      it was right in front of you :)

    • zero_shift 1 hour ago
      Nicolas Polson?

      Sin: A Slop Colon!